Jake Paul wants to make Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. Mexico’s embarrassment
A news conference for Jake Paul and Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. in Los Angeles featured barbs thrown from each fighter. They meet June 28 in Anaheim.
Live from the Honda Center in Anaheim, California, “The Problem Child” Jake Paul, 28, takes part in his next highly-anticipated bout, squaring off against former WBC middleweight champion Julio Cesar Chavez Jr., 39. Despite Chavez’s history though, this fight will take place at the cruiserweight level, a heavier division than where Chavez made his name.
While Chavez is the most experienced boxer Paul has ever faced in his career, boasting a 54-6-1 record, his best days are well behind him. It’s been more than a decade since Chavez held the middleweight titles. Paul is still ten years younger than Chavez, a far cry from the 30 years that separated him from his last fight against “Iron” Mike Tyson in November 2024, but still a large discrepancy that gives Paul a massive advantage.
That said, just because Chavez is older doesn’t mean he lacks the boxing IQ to defeat Paul. Here are the latest odds for the fight, plus expert predictions from around the internet.
Predictions for Paul vs. Chavez Jr.
Josh Peter, USA Today: Paul by TKO
Jake Paul vs. Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.: At 39, Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. is well past his prime. At 28, Jake Paul is approaching his prime. Thanks to youth and a powerful right hand, Paul will prevail. Prediction: Jake Paul by TKO, Round 9.
Jon Hoefling, USA Today: Paul by decision
Considering Paul could not knock out a 58-year-old Mike Tyson, a matchup against someone in likely better shape and closer to his prime than Tyson shouldn’t result in anything greater. Paul is younger, faster, has been active more recently, and his strength is nothing to scoff at, but it seems way more likely that Paul and Chavez will go the distance than anything else.
C. Jackson Cowart, Sportsbook Review: Paul by mid-to-late decision, possibly TKO
Cowart writes, “Youth, power, reach, and recent consistent performance give Paul a clear edge. Chavez Jr. has the skills and pedigree, but his age, lack of recent high-level activity, and motivational concerns are big red flags. Paul’s physical advantages and training discipline should outweigh Chavez Jr.’s experience.”
OddsShark: Paul by KO/TKO (+140)
OddsShark writes, “Unless Chavez Jr. shows up in peak form, this is Paul’s fight to lose. He’s in better shape, he’s more active, and his power is real. Chavez Jr. might have the pedigree, but Paul has the tools and the drive right now.”
Paul vs. Chavez Jr. odds, lines
*All odds via BetMGM, as of Wednesday, June 18
- Paul (-600)
- Tie (+1600)
- Chavez Jr. (+450)
How to watch Paul vs. Chavez Jr.
- Date: Saturday, June 28
- Where: Honda Center in Anaheim, California
- Time: 8 p.m. ET/5 p.m. PT
- Main Event Ringwalk (expected time): 11 p.m. ET/8 p.m. PT
- Stream: DAZN
Stream Paul vs. Chavez with DAZN
