Vasile’s prediction: Bueckers leads the Wings to another cover in Connecticut.
Photo By – Imagn Images. Dallas Wings guard Paige Bueckers (5).
The two bottom‑dwellers of the WNBA collide tonight as the Connecticut Sun play host to the Dallas Wings.
Despite their similar records, my Wings vs. Sun predictions have Paige Bueckers & Co. grabbing the win and covering the spread.
Let’s dive further into my free WNBA picks for Friday, June 20.
Tip-off is set for 7:30 p.m. ET from Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, with the game airing on ION.
Wings vs Sun predictions
My Wings vs Sun best bet: Wings -4.5 (-110 at bet365)
The Dallas Wings picked up just their second win of the season on Tuesday, beating an upstart Golden State Valkyries side while holding them to just 71 points (the same team who just beat the Caitlin Clark-led Indiana Fever by 11 points).
In that game, I saw two things that impressed me and that I believe the Wings can build off of.
The first — the Wings can, in fact, win games that are close, against the right opposition. This is a team that’s already beaten the Connecticut Sun early in the season, putting up 109 points in that contest. They’ve also had close calls against the Las Vegas Aces and the Seattle Storm in the month of June.
Playing well is one thing, but closing out games is something this young Wings team is going to have to figure out in a hurry.
Meanwhile, the combination of Paige Bueckers and Arike Ogunbowale is going to be a nightmare defensively for the next five to seven years. The pair combined for 39 of the Wings’ 80 points vs. the Valkyries, and they now get to attack the worst-rated defense in the league.
In the four games Bueckers missed through injury, the Wings cracked 80 points once, and Ogunbowale averaged just 14.2 points per game. In the three games since Bueckers has been back, she’s averaged 18.3 points. Bueckers keeps the defense honest and makes the players around her better.
I expect the pair to have another big night against a Sun defense that ranks 13th in defensive rating at 114.6. They’ve given up 80+ points in three of their last four losses, including 104 points to a mid Washington Mystics side.
If we throw in the fact that the Sun also sit near the bottom of the league in all the important offensive metrics, I don’t see them being able to score enough to stay within this number.
Paige Bueckers pick: Bueckers’ delivery service
My best bet
Paige Bueckers Over 5.5 assists (-130 at bet365)
The Dallas Wings have found the face of their franchise in Paige Bueckers. She’s been everything the Wings hoped she would be in her rookie season.
Through nine games this year, Paige is averaging 17.7 points and 5.7 assists per game. I believe those numbers would be higher if not for her missing some time through injury.
In her return to action, she’s been more focused on getting her shots and putting up points than dishing out assists, but that changes tonight.
The Sun are among the worst teams in the league at giving up assists. They have no elite on-ball defenders that can rattle the Wings PG, and Bueckers is smart/good enough to beat any double-team or trap by finding an open teammate for an easy look.
Over 5.5 assists is the floor. I also wouldn’t mind laddering this to 7+ at +150.
Wings vs Sun same-game parlay (SGP)
Wings -4.5
Bueckers Over 5.5 assists
Marina Mabrey Over 2.5 threes
50% boost available
The Wings have a little momentum on their side, having picked up their second win of the season, and they’ve already blown out this Connecticut side on their home court.
The Sun have dropped four straight, play some of the worst defense in the league, and give up plenty of assists. Bueckers should have no issues setting up her teammates.
Marina Mabrey is the only shot the Sun have at keeping this close. She’s a volume shooter and she’s not afraid to let fly from beyond the arc, hitting at a 30% clip.
Wings vs Sun odds
Wings vs Sun live odds
Wings vs Sun opening odds
- Spread: Dallas -4 (-110) | Connecticut +4 (-110)
- Moneyline: Dallas -187 | Connecticut +153
- Over/Under: Over 164.5 (-110) | Under 164.5 (-110)
Wings vs Sun trend
Connecticut has a record of 2-7 SU (a 22.2% win rate) when it is set as an underdog of +180 or more by bookmakers this season. Find more WNBA betting trends for Wings vs. Sun.
How to watch Wings vs Sun
| Location | Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville, CT |
| Date | Friday, 6-20-2025 |
| Tip-off | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | ION |
Wings vs Sun latest injuries
Wings: Maddy Siegrist F (Out), Tyasha Harris G (Out), Teaira McCowan C (Out).
Sun: Leila Lacan G (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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